NESCO Rajshahi Zone - Day-Ahead Load Forecaster
Dedicated Distribution Grid Operational Dispatch Engine (Excluding PBS)
NESCO Load Only
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Print Report
Target Date
Trained Neural Model
⭐ Compact LSTM (Best RMSE: 21.42 MW | MAPE: 3.73%)
Compact GRU (MAPE: 3.94% | Reset+Update)
Compact Vanilla RNN (MAPE: 4.01%)
Ensemble Average (LSTM + GRU + Seasonal)
Day-of-Week Seasonal Baseline
Day Type Override
Auto-detect from Calendar
Normal Working Day
Friday (Weekend / Commercial Drop)
Saturday (Partial Working Day)
Recalculate Forecast
Temp Deviation (ΔT):
+0.0°C
Cooling Sensitivity (+2.5%/°C)
Rain / Weather Factor
Dry / Normal (0%)
Overcast / Humid (+2%)
Scattered Rain (-7% cooling drop)
Heavy Downpour (-14% drop)
NESCO Peak Allocation Limit:
490 MW
NESCO Evening Peak (19:30–21:00)
445.9
MW
NESCO Day Peak (12:00)
426.5
MW
Reserve Margin / Headroom
+44.1
MW
Model Test Error (MAPE)
3.73
%
NESCO Daily Peak Timeline & Day-Ahead Forecast
●
Evening Peak
●
Day Peak
NESCO Circle Distribution
NESCO Grid Substation Breakdown (16 Substations)
All NESCO (16)
Rajshahi Circle-1
Rajshahi Circle-2
Bogura Circle
Naogaon Circle
Pabna Circle
#
Substation Name (উপকেন্দ্র)
Circle
Recent Average (Day/Eve)
Forecast Day Peak (12:00)
Forecast Eve Peak (20:00)
Transformer Rating
Loading %
Status